| DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/publishing2018.50.037
PROBABILISTIC POWER MODELING OF THE ELECTRIC POWER COMPLEX IN THE WIND AND SOLAR POWER STATIONS COMPOSITION
M.P. Kuznetsov1, O.V. Lysenko2
1 – Institute of Renewable Energy, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine,
Hnat Hotkevich, 20-а, Kyiv, 02094, Ukraine
2 – Tavriya State Agrotechnological University,
B. Khmelnitskogo, 18, Melitopol, Zaporozhye region, 72312, Ukraine,
е-mail:
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The proposed method of wind and solar power plants the total power probabilistic simulation is described. The results of static analysis of wind and solar energy were used for calculating the mathematical model parameters. According to the proposed models, the values of wind speed and solar insolation were obtained, which were subsequently recalculated into the power of the electric power complex. The verification of the model adequacy of solar and wind power plants joint operation was carried out by comparison with the actual data obtained at the annual time interval in adjacent areas of the Zaporizhzhya region. The difference between the simulated and actual values of the produced energy was 1.5-2.5% in the average monthly measurement. References 7, figures 2, tables 2.
Key words: mathematical model, wind power station, solar power station, wind speed, solar radiation.
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